Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 2.001892 2.293418 2.613876 2.992493 3.427915 3.913354 4.496149
2025-07-27 1.654774 2.053002 2.527588 3.135792 3.896025 4.816879 6.020019
2025-08-03 1.386424 1.840397 2.419884 3.215971 4.284834 5.675490 7.630754
2025-08-10 1.135337 1.597804 2.224313 3.138638 4.445376 6.255477 8.970362
2025-08-17 0.926477 1.372366 2.008776 2.988363 4.467835 6.634317 10.076208
2025-08-24 0.801092 1.242882 1.903964 2.972015 4.668362 7.281918 11.659345
2025-08-31 0.692414 1.120173 1.788227 2.916043 4.791278 7.817579 13.137608
2025-09-07 0.642782 1.081613 1.795120 3.050728 5.230983 8.907857 15.676383
2025-09-14 0.588611 1.026998 1.766740 3.119444 5.564613 9.860303 18.114865
2025-09-21 0.528741 0.953890 1.696314 3.103034 5.742454 10.559069 20.192793
2025-09-28 0.462390 0.860252 1.577325 2.981359 5.708260 10.863109 21.564575
2025-10-05 0.440130 0.844293 1.596007 3.116905 6.174544 12.162500 25.067521
2025-10-12 0.420337 0.831810 1.622024 3.275172 6.718049 13.708873 29.365429
2025-10-19 0.394792 0.804822 1.616737 3.370571 7.148967 15.092762 33.555178
2025-10-26 0.367375 0.770468 1.592324 3.422906 7.496844 16.353227 37.684576
2025-11-02 0.328832 0.707982 1.502261 3.322530 7.497833 16.861960 40.181257
2025-11-09 0.289302 0.638372 1.388437 3.153960 7.320417 16.943070 41.672622
2025-11-16 0.266145 0.601928 1.342068 3.131705 7.477707 17.816741 45.246825
2025-11-23 0.242579 0.561657 1.282265 3.069983 7.531791 18.451707 48.321821
2025-11-30 0.235247 0.558067 1.305695 3.210504 8.101688 20.431103 55.248858
2025-12-07 0.223862 0.543429 1.301402 3.282098 8.507782 22.056571 61.501399
2025-12-14 0.208118 0.516271 1.263783 3.264351 8.679209 23.097389 66.302991
2025-12-21 0.187775 0.475263 1.187349 3.135916 8.537181 23.280895 68.670442